Lemming99

Several things will need to happen before MetroBank is allowed to recover. I'll divide these into two categories: 1) regulatory and reporting 2) emotional 1) Regulatory and reporting.  Having done a bit of research it seems to me that the relevant regulatory authorities are The Bank, FCA and PRA. The Bank of England did a handy announcement on the day of the new share sale saying that Metro are profitable, have enough money and this new money is for growth. The Prudential Regulation Authority seem to judge the appropriateness of board members in banking and can ban people. Metro have 6 or their 9 board members who've been in position since the beginning in 2010 and are now nearing the end of their 9 year "maximum" term. These mates are seen as a bit too insider-ish it would seem. Usually people don't get banned per se, but withdraw their application for continued tenure and step aside gracefully. We'll probably see some new blood appearing on the BOD (an...

The Metro Bank share price initially reacted well to their successful and over-subscribed large share placing on 16th May 2019. Since the initial euphoria the share price has been drifting lower. Perhaps it was weighed down by a large number of short positions at the time. More recently many of these have closed as per the graph on short tracker  shown below: There has been some interesting trading from major holders these past few weeks. I built up my initial position at 650p to 700p and paid just over £8 for some more. I'm glad to see Fidelity also saw great value at 694p. In fact Fidelity started out by selling more a third of their holding on 10th May at 533.5p according to this Guardian article . They clearly had sellers' remorse as by 22nd May the share price peaked at 813p. As the price drifed back, they took the opportunity to nearly double their holding from 5.37% to 9.53% on 5th June when the share price was 694p. They've since added some more to 9.56% o...

I've been watching Lloyds Bank for sometime and have owned shares. I think like many it's seen as a barometer for UK plc and if you think Brexit has a negative effect on the economy pre or post the day itself then you probably think the share price will go down, and vice versa. To date it's been a bit of a mixed bag with some very positive news for the economy, but we don't like a good news story, and as there's certainly worse to come the share price has been in the doldrums. Even the government selling its last shares didn't really perk it up that much. And so, with all the share buy backs and stellar results, I've been waiting for an opportunity to buy, probably post Brexit to potentially shave a few pennies off the buy price. I might buy a few before hand as having just worked the numbers they look even better than when I last looked 2-3 years ago. So I've dug out the number of shares over time, and have mapped those approximately onto the stat...

With some corrections / additional comments in blue below. Now that Metro Bank has a new £375m on deposit, I thought I would work out the net asset value and shareholder equity. Total Assets at 31 March '19        £22,194m New Capital                                       £375m ------------------------------------------------------- Total                                              £22,569m Total Liabilities at 31 March         £20,788m Shareholder Equity                          £1,781m Total Voting Rights                    172,420,458 Net Asset Value per share            ...

I wasn't actively tracking Metro Bank, but had been aware of the story these past few weeks. Over the weekend I started reading up about them. The close on Thursday was 536p trading up on Friday to close at 669p up 24.8%. As I write today they're up about 10% at 772p (It also was at 782p whilst working out some of the numbers below) The cash raise was priced at 500p a 36p discount to closing price on Thursday They wanted to raise £350m but actually raised £375m issuing 75m new shares. The BBC wrote about the crisis on 19th March '19 when the share price was 850p, it had dropped from 3396p on 27 July '18 (75% drop) Metro has debt of £249m Here's some high level analysis to translate old money into new money (partly as Google haven't updated the total voting rights (TVR) yet). 27th July '18 company valuation was Marcap £3,308,398,753 2nd May '19 TVR was 97,420,458 and Share price 650p Marcap £633,232,977 Share price at 500p Marcap £487,102...

Followers of Genel Energy will know that they spent $1.3bn on a couple of gas and oil assets in Northern Iraq. These fields are Miran and Bina Bawi. Genel had been carrying a lot of weight on its balance sheet for Miran and in the most recent financial year they wrote off $424m which is about 140% of their EBITDAX. As such they didn't make a profit last year. The purpose of this article is to look at a price / earnings ratio that ignores this one off write down. (By the way, the gas and oil is still in Miran; just not going to be produced anytime soon.) At the bottom of page 10 in this presentation  Genel talk about making $20m per month profit at an Oil Price (OP) of $60 increasing to around $30m per month at an OP of $80. I would say that the OP has averaged $66 or $67 this year, let's say $66. As such this would indicate that Genel are making $23m a month profit in the first 4 months. We know that Free Cash Flow was $44m for Jan/Feb according to this announcement . ...

Yesterday I was doing some research into Eve Sleep and stumbled across Yü Group. Can you guess what first intrigued me about the company? We all like a momentum play, but I aspire to be a value investor. So I rolled up my sleeves and started reading about the company (that many seemed to know about already). Here are some key things that I found: Yü Group raised £11.6m in March '18 with a share placing  They ended the year with £9.7m more cash than Dec '17.  As such they burnt £1.9m of the new placing money. They have no debt They look on track to make £88m to £100m revenue in '19 on a single digit margin north of 7.3% Let's say this is 8% on £100m. That's £8m gross profit. Current marcap is £38.26m 8/38.26 = 20.9% gross profit to marcap at 237p In 2017 Yü Group made £6.818m Gross profit on £45.6m revenue. After costs and tax the profit for the year was £711,000 or 5p per share. In 2018 Yü Group made (£5,873) gross profit (i.e. loss...